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It has a few things going for it: stealing Fable tokens for two mana, the copying a creature part making it a late game bomb that can help you go over the top, and being a sorcery it helps you fill up your graveyard enabling the Treasure Cruises

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To put it mathematically, and paraphrasing Wikipedia's definition, the hypergeometric distribution " describes the probability of k successes in n draws, from a finite population of size N that contains exactly K objects with that feature." Probability of getting the card in my initial hand Let's start with the simplest case: the probability of drawing at least one BVP in my initial hand

Pull rate from Rare Packs: 4.76% The estimated pull rate for Mega Gyarados ex (Mega Rising) from a Rare Pack is approximately 4.76%, meaning you might need to open around 22 Rare Packs to obtain it