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0.4 per cent chance: 0.2 per cent per card (5th card probability rate, regular pack) Rainbow Full Art Moltres EX, Rainbow Full Art Machamp EX (Charizard Pack) 0.1 per cent chance: 0.05 per cent per card (4th card, regular pack)

(In fact, weve so far already implicitly assumed some rudimentary player strategy: namely that if we can play a land, we do so.) If we're to account for all these different factors, its going to be practically impossible to get an analytical answer, i.e., an answer in the form of a neat little formula like the distribution function of the binomial or hypergeometric distribution

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